Donnerstag, 24. Juli 2014

Zwei Juwelen der Ökonometrie-Historie

Dave Giles schreibt in einem kürzlich erschienenen Blog-Beitrag über ein paar amüsante Ereignisse in der Historie der Ökonometrie bzw. quantiativen VWL im Allgemeinen.

Er verlinkt eine Präsentation von Olav Bjerkholt. Darin die folgenden zwei Stories:

Nummer 1: Schnellste Annahme eines Papiers in Econometrica
"Cable from Jacob Marschak to Ragnar Frisch, August 14, 1947
WOULD ECONOMETRICA PUBLISH 28 DOUBLE SPACED PAGES ON COST OF NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY BY EXPERT ENGINEER PLEASE WIRE COLLECT = MARSCHAK
Cable from Ragnar Frisch to Jacob Marschak, August 15, 1947
YES MARSCHAK PUBLISH = FRISCH
The paper, which had just been declassified, was published immediately afterwards as J. R. Menke: Nuclear Fission as a Source of Power, Econometrica, 15(4), Oct. 1947. Frisch was staying in a simple style mountain resort in the Norwegian mountain massif of Jotunheimen without telephone and electricity. Cables and mail arrived by rowboat messenger across a lake."
Nummer 2: Ablehung eines Papiers von O. Morgenstern in Economics and the Theory of Games
"Morgenstern submitted in November 1948 to Economics and the Theory of Games.

Referee report by Kenneth Arrow:
"It is a matter of editorial judgment whether papers which have been written by well-known authorities ... should be refused. However, as far as the merits of the paper are concerned, there seems to be no reason to accept it. There is exactly nothing whatever new in it; it is essentially a series of mention being a statement that this topic will be of use in some undefined sense in economics. Anything this author might have had to say in this matter has already been said. [...] Fore these reasons, it seems to the referee that there is no reason to publish the enclosed paper." (Nov. 1948).
 
Referee report by Trygve Haavelmo:
"He throws out a lot of ideas, but he does not do anything himself. We are all moving around with more or less vague ideas about the on ought to revolutionize the entire system. But to suggest explicitly a real step forward, that is something completely different. I learned nothing from reading this MS. I think Morgenstern should send this paper to American Economic Review." (Nov. 1948)
 
Morgenstern, perhaps feeling slighlty offended, submitted his paper to Kyklos which accepted it, published 1949."
Zufällig ist Kyklos die Zeitschrift, wo 2007 mein erstes Papier erschienen ist ... ich hoffe nun inständig, dass daraus zumindest irgendjemand etwas gelernt hat ...


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